Today AMAT Applied Materials, Inc.
✗ LOSS -0.51% $588.8 → $585.78
Friday AMAT ✓ WIN +3.56%
Today's Pick  ·  2026-06-15
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc.
high confidence 📈 Momentum Play ✗ LOSS  -0.51%
30-day price history
Composite Score
0.791 / 1.000
5d Mom: 100%
vs Sector: 100%
Volume: 0%
RSI Setup: 37%
MACD: 85%
Bollinger: 0%
Earnings: 40%
EPS Growth: 89%
Revenue: 54%
SMA-50: 25%
52wk High: 88%
OBV: 100%
Gap: 90%
Short Int: 45%
Tap any chip for a full description. Green ≥70% · Red <40%
Market regime when picked: BULLISH — SPY +2.6% vs 50d SMA  ·  VIX 16.3
Score gap to #2: +0.030
Entry Price
$588.8
Exit Price (next day close)
$585.78
90% Conformal Prediction Interval ⓘ
$560.13 – $622.63 (-4.87% / +5.75%)
✓ Exit within interval
Exit: $585.78
n=252 days · conformal
✦ Why this pick
  • › Positive 5-day momentum: +17.9%
  • › Outperforming its sector by +14.5%
  • › MACD histogram positive and growing
  • › EPS growing 34% YoY
⚠ Watch out for
  • › RSI (76.9) is elevated - overbought risk
  • › Price is 36.4% above 50-day SMA - extended, mean-reversion risk
  • › Near upper Bollinger Band (%B=1.00) - overbought
Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) scored 0.791/1.000 and outranked today's candidates. Its strongest signal was strong 5-day price momentum. The broader market is in a bullish regime, providing a supportive tailwind.
Should I pull the trigger?
Signal checklist at pick time
✅
Composite Score   0.791/1.000
Strong signal — well above the high-confidence threshold of 0.65
✅
Confidence   high
High — this stock scored well above today's field; a dominant outlier
✅
Market Regime   BULLISH (SPY +2.6% vs 50d SMA)
Bullish — SPY is above its 50-day SMA; broad market tailwind supports the pick
✅
Volatility   VIX 16.3
Normal volatility — VIX is calm; no extra caution needed on this dimension
✅
Market Pulse at Pick Time   Greed (71.3)
Greed — broad market tailwind; technical and momentum signals tend to be more reliable in this environment
🟡
Lead over #2 Candidate   +0.030
Moderate lead — a reasonable margin, but check the runner-up table below
🎯
Day Quality   Strong (76/100)
Multiple signals aligned — strong pick quality, clear winner, and a supportive market environment
Pick quality 80% Conviction 37% Regime 100% VIX 87% Field 55% Separation 100%
Heuristic pre-calibration model — accuracy will improve as more picks resolve
⚠ Not financial advice. This checklist summarises the pattern-based signals used to generate the pick. Past signal accuracy does not guarantee future performance. Always do your own research and manage your position size accordingly.
Market Pulse
—
Loading…
Win Rate
56.0%
28W / 22L / 0F
Avg Return / Pick
+0.74%
across 50 resolved picks
Total Return
+36.8%
sum of all daily gains/losses
Current Streak
1
losing in a row
Best Pick
+11.43%
DELL on 2026-05-08
Worst Pick
-6.11%
JBL on 2026-05-07
Equity Curve
Picker (cumulative %) SPY (same days)
Loading chart…
💼 Paper Portfolio
$10,000 starting · compounded per pick
Current Value
$10,000.00
Loading…
Total Return
— —
$10,000 —
Hypothetical: $10,000 compounded across every resolved pick at entry→next-close returns. Not financial advice.
Signal Accuracy
Loading…

How much higher each signal's sub-score was in winning picks vs losing picks. Green bars = signal is predictive. Red bars = signal may be misleading or noisy.

Loading signal data…

Daily Recap
Loading…
Loading today's ranked field…